perception, comprehension, prediction - situational awareness - rather:
perception(sa) - comprehension(situational knowledge) - prediction:
- [ ] Humans reason using mental pictures or mental models. These pictures or models determine how we perceive actual and/or imagined objects or situations.
- [ ] We might share these via e.g whiteboards, or get shared pics/models, but understanding always depends on characteristics of people, we are not sharing equal knowledge, thinking from everything.
- [ ] We should design before we plan and execute - during design we should think system object as its own, but also as part of bigger system (thus while eating elephant one piece at the time it still is part of the elephant. Chinese way of troubleshooting is correct in this sense to look pieces and whole - western thinking is divide to pieces and not looking it against larger object).
- [ ] Things (systems) can be:
- [ ] Linear (more parts and more orderly the arrangement)
- [ ] Which are predictable, fixed, regular behaviors
- [ ] automobiles, weapons, bodies, waterfall models, e.g hierarchical management - even when disassembled can be assembled into whole.
- [ ] Utilizing linear thinking into non-linear matters(systems) will cause wrong conclusions (this is the reason why so-called experts fail equally with random opinions - so the problem is not to listen experts but not listen those people who cannot distinguish linear vs non-linear thinking appropriately.)
- [ ] Non-linear (requires looking system as a whole)
- [ ] Which are non-predictable, dynamic, more freedom of action parts do greater the dynamics
- [ ] Greater(different) than sum of their parts
- [ ] Can be modelled in computers, but those models only are representative of it, thus we cannot expect actual system to behave exactly like the model shows.
- [ ] Weather, ecologies, economis, political systems, international relations, wars, campaigns, battles, schools, businesses, security, agile methods etc
- [ ] Those who understand non-linear better are better equipped in prediction (compare unable to predict end of cold war due employing linear ways to non-linear actors).
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Thursday, June 06, 2013
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